2011 December

Macro Themes – US Monetary Policy

For our clients and readers, I have linked an article by Jon Hilsenrath, Chief Economics Correspondent for the Wall Street Journal.  His article presents a good summary of the macro monetary debate occurring in the country.  Concerns about the Fed, the financial sector and their, allegedly, dubious relationship with our politicians are already part of the Presidential campaign .. read more

Markets Today – ECB Funding

This week has been very quiet, volume is running about 1/3-1/2 of normal.  Some developments of note have come out of Europe and have been affecting markets.  The ECB, in an attempt to stem liquidity issues in the banking system, opened a facility to lend to banks on a 3 year term.  This is similar .. read more

On December 29th, 2011, posted in: Markets by

Markets Today – 200 day MA

As I pen the S&P has just broken through the 200 day moving average to the upside.  The market is moving higher on very low holiday volume, but the event may draw some interest in the last few hours before the holiday weekend.  I wish everyone a Happy Holiday.  At Alhambra we remain cautiously optomistic .. read more

On December 23rd, 2011, posted in: Markets by Tags: ,

Markets Today – Oracle Earnings

Reading the transcript from Oracle’s earnings call, one senses a bit of insecurity and false bravado coming from Oracle executives.  Wall Street sensed that all is not rosy at Oracle; and neither Mark Hurd’s boasts of a great pipeline, Larry Ellison’s boasts on peer performance comparisons nor CFO Safra Catz’s explanation that Oracle was caught .. read more

Tech Woes Continue, with one exception….

In my weekend update I mentioned difficulties in the technology sector. Click here to read it. Tonight, Oracle (ORCL) blew it! Revenue grew only 2% from last year. The company’s hardware business looked particularly weak — sales were down 14% to $953 million — and new software sales were up only 2% to $2.0 billion. Oracle .. read more

On December 20th, 2011, posted in: Investing, Markets, Weekly Update by Tags: , , ,

Macro Themes

The European debt crisis to date is playing out like a chess match.  This parallels the discussions at Alhambra.  The on going saga is still progressing toward structural changes in southern countries and recapitalization of banks.  At this stage in the game southern countries face a choice, structural reform within the context of the a .. read more

On December 19th, 2011, posted in: Currencies by

A Closer Look

The S&P 500 is straddling a fine line right now. This past week of trading brought on a significant amount of technical damage, as the index couldn’t puncture through the 200-day moving average, and fell under the 50-day moving average. In order for the market to resume its uptrend, we must now break through both .. read more

On December 18th, 2011, posted in: Investing, Markets by 1 Comment

Just One Wish This Christmas: a Dollar As Good As Gold

Thinking Things Over              December 17, 2011 Volume I, Number 22:   Just One Wish This Christmas: a Dollar As Good As Gold  By John L. Chapman, Ph.D.                                                                                                                         Washington, D.C. This week several millions of holiday revellers head to places far from home to be with friends, family, and loved ones.  And these are indeed cherished moments .. read more