Oil – The Sale of the Century?


Oil is at the lowest level relative to gold of the last 30 years, when the Fed data series begin. Deutsche Bank has calculated the series back to the Civil War. Based on their work, an ounce of gold buys you more barrels of oil than anytime since 1892. An ounce of gold currently buys you just over 42 barrels of oil.

Barrels of Oil per Ounce of Gold

Gold oil g1(s)

For me, this indicates an oil supply-demand issue more than some massive, global deleveraging and shrinking of money supply. At present this is a micro economic event that, unfortunately, could have systemic, macro economic implications. Some of the recent volatility can be attributed to the markets contemplating potential financial sector fallout from the energy sector blood bath. As they do, remember, though an ounce of gold is easier to store than 40 barrels of oil, this may be the sale of the century. I’m fairly certain a group of value hunters and bargain shoppers are circling and licking their chops.

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For information on Alhambra Investment Partners’ money management services and global portfolio approach, Douglas R. Terry, CFA is reachable at: dterry@alhambrapartners.com

This material has been distributed for informational purposes only. It is the opinion of the author and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product. Investments involve risk and you can lose money. Past investing and economic performance is not indicative of future performance. Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC expressly disclaims all liability in respect to actions taken based on all of the information in this writing. If an investor does not understand the risks associated with certain securities, he/she should seek the advice of an independent adviser.

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