Confessions Of A Gloomy Gus
I have recently been accused of being a paid up member of the gloom and doom club. Well, actually accused might be too strong; informed is probably more accurate. I don’t spend a lot of time thinking about how these weekly missives might be perceived but based on recent feedback the perception out there seems .. read more
Sunday Gold Fix – The Travails of Paper Gold
The alchemists of Dark Ages lore had nothing on Wall Street. Like everything else in financial evolution, it begins as a good idea and gets warped and bastardized into a means of scalping “free money” for banks. This is particularly true in the age of prop accounts and banks masquerading as prudent intermediaries but operating .. read more
The Proper Perspective on Jobs and Income
The headline employment growth for May 1974 totaled 165,000 jobs. That followed a weaker report from April where only 89,000 new jobs were created. Only a few months before, the headline beancount of job quantity was 304,000. For the seven months between November 1973 and May 1974, the headline averaged +135,000. That was notable because .. read more
Closer Look at Q1 GDP
Joe covered the GDP release for Q1 2013 earlier where he noted that: “While on the surface that seems better than the 4th quarter rate of 0.4%, the details were actually worse in many ways.” I wanted to follow up with one of those “worse” features – consumer spending on housing “services”. This is a .. read more
Might Draghi Know Something?
The rumors of the ECB rate cut had become rather ubiquitous in the past few weeks. Confidence in the European economy has been indirectly proportionate to those rumors, particularly as Germany seems to be heading south again after a short-lived reprieve. France is just a downright mess. But the rate cuts that were just announced .. read more
Liquidity Perspective, Europe
Ever since the first warning of crisis in August 2007, indications of global banking health and liquidity have been turned upside down. Nowhere is that more evident than European banking, especially in the periphery. Observers have been looking for lower interest rates and reduced reliance on the ECB as evidence of “normalcy”. Starting with the .. read more
Central Banks, Inequality & Market Manipulation
The Pew Research Center last week released a report showing that from 2009 to 2011 the top 7% of American households (based on net worth) realized a 28% gain in wealth while the bottom 93% saw a 4% decline. In a statement of the blatantly obvious, Pew said the difference was a result of the .. read more
Deja Vu All Over Again?
Gold dropped 20%. Oil dropped over 10%. The Goldman Sachs Commodity Index dropped 11%. The US Dollar rose. Last week? No, that’s what happened in the first week of July of 2008. Last week’s rout in the commodities markets was eerily similar to that week nearly 5 years ago when the first signs of the .. read more
