Predicting The Future Is Hard

“Conditions for a hard economic landing — like slack in the labor market and weak balance sheets — are still largely absent.” If the case for U.S. stocks is built on global growth and lower interest rates, other factors, too, suggest that the market is heading higher. For one, Washington is determined to avert a financial .. read more

A Closer Look: World Markets

Despite a somewhat volatile week, the  S&P 500 Index (IVV) barely came off of its all-time highs set in the beginning of July. The index has staggered in the last week as a result of the unforgivable Malaysia 17 incident and Russia’s perceived involvement, and with news of the ground invasion in Gaza by Israeli forces. Rocky .. read more

On July 20th, 2014, posted in: Weekly Update by

A Change In Policy?

The Committee recognizes that low interest rates may provide incentives for some investors to “reach for yield,” and those actions could increase vulnerabilities in the financial system to adverse events. While prices of real estate, equities, and corporate bonds have risen appreciably and valuation metrics have increased, they remain generally in line with historical norms. .. read more

A Closer Look: Market Style

Under uncertain yet seemingly improving economic conditions, the S&P 500 Index((IVV)) has inched its way forward for much of the year, gaining just over 7% during this low-volume, low-volatility period. It remains above support at the 50-day moving average, and is poised to make new all-time highs this week. The index is up 7.57% in .. read more

On July 13th, 2014, posted in: Markets, Weekly Update by 1 Comment

A Return To Normalcy

I think sometimes, with the stock market doing its best imitation of the Energizer bunny, we forget just how extraordinary are the times in which we live. We’ve been lulled to sleep by the relentless and mesmerizing march higher of stocks and all manner of risky assets. Maybe it’s just that having lived through two .. read more

It’s A Big World Out There

Home country bias is the tendency for investors to focus more on their domestic economy and markets. For most of the people reading this the US markets are home and with the Dow breaking 17,000 this past week the US is certainly getting a lot of attention. And it deserves it I guess considering the .. read more

A Closer Look: Market Cap

The S&P 500 Cap-Weighted Index ((IVV))  has been on a slow, stubborn march forward after breaking through the 1900 level. The S&P 500 is up 7.22% for the year and made a new all-time high just last week. Is the 2000 level the next stop? The S&P 500 Equal-Weighted index ((RSP)) is set up so .. read more

On June 29th, 2014, posted in: Weekly Update by

Careful What You Wish For…

So be careful what you wish for ‘Cause you just might get it And if you get it then you just might not know What to do wit’ it, ’cause it might just Come back on you ten-fold Eminem, Careful What You Wish For There was a collective gasp on Wall Street last week as .. read more