bank reserves

The Consequences of What You Don’t See

By |2021-10-06T20:03:36-04:00October 6th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Because it’s what you don’t see that ultimately matters, the public is left entirely in the dark unable to join what really should be easy dots to connect. Something is wrong, and pretty much everyone acknowledges this if in their own way. We can see the social and political disintegration before our very eyes, the anger, the “revolution”, even the [...]

Tapering Or Calibrating, The Lady’s Not Inflating

By |2021-10-05T20:10:48-04:00October 5th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

We’ve got one central bank over here in America which appears as if its members can’t wait to “taper”, bringing up both the topic and using that particular word as much as possible. Jay Powell’s Federal Reserve obviously intends to buoy confidence by projecting as much when it does cut back on the pace of its (irrelevant) QE6. On the [...]

Chip Shortages, Crude Boiling, Fed Explosion And…No Inflation

By |2021-10-05T18:06:08-04:00October 5th, 2021|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

An integrated circuit (IC) is a set of electronic circuits put together on one small, flat semiconductor medium. We call this thing a chip, and it is essential for so much of what we do in the modern computerized, digital world. Manufacturers can’t even produce cars without them.It stands to reason, then, that any shortfall or hitch in the availability [...]

Previewing The Taper Theater

By |2021-09-21T17:47:10-04:00September 21st, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Eurodollar, not Evergrande. That wasn’t just the point of yesterday’s recall, it is the whole point of beyond fourteen years of going only the wrong way. The deflationary way. Defaults in China are nowadays a commonplace part of that trend, one which began early in 2014 with Shanghai Chaori Solar.What was significant about Chaori was this: “It was the moment [...]

Honestly Not Easy

By |2021-09-13T18:44:08-04:00September 13th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Central banking’s real monetary power comes from a different kind of printing. We’re all taught and told from the very beginning that it's derived from enjoying the money printer, the ability to stack currency at will. No. In actual fact, monetary policies are all money-less leaving “monetary” authorities to employ instead the press which prints words.Deciding which words, and more [...]

Finally, QuEstioning ‘Easy Money’

By |2021-08-30T19:51:03-04:00August 30th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A fascinating and useful bit of economic research was put forward just last month by Britain’s House of Lords (and thanks to Greg for digging it up). That body’s Economic Affairs Committee heard detailed testimony on the subject of Quantitative Easing, commonly known as QE. From the title of the report prepared in advance of the witnesses presenting their opinions [...]

Neither Coincidence Nor Nothing: Fedwire Six Months Later

By |2021-08-24T19:46:09-04:00August 24th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It was one of those little things that really shouldn’t have made any difference whatsoever, an interesting if trivial little nugget left behind for only obsessive scholars to care any about. Late in the morning of February 24, 2021, Fedwire shutdown. The fact a couple hours inactive snowballed into something bigger, we wondered if this would end up being indicative [...]

CPI’s At Fives Yet Treasury Auctions

By |2021-08-11T20:01:39-04:00August 11th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

A momentous day, for sure, but one lost in what would turn out to be a seemingly endless sea of them. October 8, 2008, right in the thick of the world’s first global financial crisis (how could it have been global, surely not subprime mortgages?) the Federal Reserve took center stage; or tried to. Having bungled Lehman, botched AIG, and [...]

Diverging Inflation Numbers, For How Much Longer?

By |2021-07-30T19:23:00-04:00July 30th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Germany’s flash July 2021 inflation estimate came in hot yesterday, boosted mostly by comparisons to July 2020’s VAT-free situation. That country’s CPI is a robust sounding 3.8% year-over-year this month, though only 3.1% in its flash HICP terms. Despite Deutschland’s oversized contribution and influence, Eurostat reports today how for Europe as a whole there was a whole lot of little [...]

Leading Out From Japan

By |2021-07-28T19:14:27-04:00July 28th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Admittedly, there isn’t much economic data released in the back half of every month. So, we’re sort of stretching our gaze into the second (maybe third) tier. But in this case, it’s just by way of reinforcing much what we already know and further what’s been suspected. Over in Japan, the government’s Cabinet Office gathers surveys, cross tabulates results and [...]

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