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Weekly Market Pulse: Fear Itself

By |2023-05-08T09:18:54-04:00May 8th, 2023|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful. -Warren Buffett   Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own. -Nathan Rothschild Rothschild is said to have made a fortune buying assets in the wake of the Battle of Waterloo so in his case, he meant this literally. Another quote attributed [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Much Ado About Not Much

By |2023-04-17T09:06:33-04:00April 17th, 2023|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

I sit down every week to write these updates and sometimes it is a struggle to find something - anything - worth writing about. Sure, there's always market "news" so I can find something to fill the page and I hope you find it interesting but the fact is that I don't think any investor - as opposed to trader [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: A Very Contrarian View

By |2022-01-18T08:11:22-05:00January 17th, 2022|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

What is the consensus about the economy today? Will 2022 growth be better or worse than 2021? Actually, that probably isn't the right question because the economy slowed significantly in the second half of 2021. The real question is whether growth will improve from that reduced pace. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracker now has Q4 growth all the way down [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Trading Places

By |2021-08-02T07:37:59-04:00August 1st, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

They're out there panicking right now. I can feel it. They're out there. They're panicking. Look at them. - Eddie Murphy as Billy Ray Valentine in Trading Places I thought of that scene the other day when a good friend in the investment business told me that investors today are panicking into the market rather than out as they were [...]

Weekly Market Pulse: Much Ado About Not Much

By |2021-03-22T04:06:34-04:00March 21st, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

The SLR exemption is ending! The SLR exemption is ending! Doesn't exactly roll off the tongue, does it? There has been rampant speculation the last few weeks about the fate of the exemption the Fed provided banks a year ago with regard to the Supplemental Leverage Ratio that allowed them to ignore Treasuries and reserves. The banks themselves warned that [...]

Weekly Market Pulse – Real Rates Finally Make A Move

By |2021-02-22T09:02:19-05:00February 21st, 2021|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Stocks|

Last week was only four days due to the President's day holiday but it was eventful. The big news of the week was the spike in interest rates, which according to the press reports I read, "came out of nowhere". In other words, the writers couldn't find an obvious cause for a 14-basis point rise in the 10-year Treasury note [...]

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