black swan

Weekly Market Pulse: It’s Always Different This Time

By |2022-11-07T09:29:26-05:00November 6th, 2022|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

The FOMC met last week and did what everyone expected them to do - raised the Fed Funds rate by 0.75%. The bond and stock markets reacted not to this action but to the commentary provided by the committee in its statement and by Chairman Jerome Powell at his post meeting press conference. The former had a new phrase, a [...]

Liquidity And Bubbles As Systems Theory; Or Inevitability

By |2014-12-22T16:50:44-05:00December 22nd, 2014|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I have to thank my colleague Joe Calhoun for passing alone a very topical article written by Nassim Taleb and Gregory Treverton in Foreign Affairs. Taleb is, of course, well-known for his “black swan”, but it is really far more than that as it gets to the failure of modern economics as nothing more than a study of statistics. Conventional [...]

The Apocalypse Bubble

By |2012-06-24T18:22:55-04:00June 24th, 2012|Economy, Markets|

There is a lot to worry about these days and no shortage of individuals capitalizing on that fact. If you think the Mayans knew something about the cosmos that modern star gazers haven't figured out there are numerous websites that will assist you in deciphering the workings of the long count. If you believe the end of the calendar will [...]

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