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Landmine Lurking, Gotta Make Tantrum Happen Before It’s Too Late (again)

By |2021-11-08T19:59:28-05:00November 8th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Have hedge funds acted rashly, perhaps stupidly? There is a segment of the population media that very much wants people to think so. According to recent data, fund speculators have gone long short-term US Treasuries, particularly the 2-year (as well as eurodollar futures), since early October. And not just long the short end, the most in almost seven years!What idiots, [...]

Downturn Rising, German Industry

By |2019-03-11T16:19:27-04:00March 11th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

You know things have really changed when Economists start revising their statements more than the data. What’s going on in the global economy has quickly reached a critical stage. This represents a big shift in expectations, a really big one, especially in the mainstream where the words “strong” and “boom” couldn’t have been used any more than they were. If [...]

Extraordinary Times

By |2013-11-10T18:14:09-05:00November 10th, 2013|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Taxes/Fiscal Policy|

I've been laid up the last week after a minor surgical procedure and while I haven't been that productive at getting any actual work done, it has given me a lot of time to watch CNBC and Bloomberg. The portfolio managers, strategists and assorted market soothsayers stream across my screen, talking about markets the way they always have, as if [...]

The Great Divide

By |2013-09-25T14:44:49-04:00September 25th, 2013|Markets|

Just a day after discussing how retailers were going to be “smart” this holiday season, Bloomberg reports that WalMart is getting even “smarter”. “Wal-Mart dropped 1.6 percent after the retailer told suppliers its [sic] is cutting orders this quarter and next to address rising inventories.” The article spends a lot of effort trying to tie the WalMart move to “uncertainty” [...]

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