broken windows fallacy

Auto Sales Up Last Month, But Why?

By |2017-10-03T19:05:38-04:00October 3rd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Auto sales rebounded sharply in September, with most major car manufacturers reporting better numbers. Sales at Ford were up 8.9% last month from September 2016; +11.9% at GM; Toyota +14.9%; Nissan +9.5%; Honda +6.8%. The only negatives were reported by FCA (-9.7%) and Mercedes (-1.7%). The question is whether these numbers are sustainable beyond September and maybe the few months [...]

Japan Proving The Monetary Black Hole

By |2015-07-17T10:59:35-04:00July 17th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Japanese household spending increased 5.5% in nominal terms in May; 4.8% in real spending growth. That was the first monthly increase since November and since it was a positive number, and not as typically close to zero, it is being hailed as another great sign of QQE success. With Q1 GDP revised up to nearly 5%, economists are back to [...]

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