civilian non-institutional population

For The Love Of Unemployment Rates

By |2021-10-08T18:19:36-04:00October 8th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Here we are again. The labor force. The numbers from the BLS are simply staggering. During September 2021, the government believes it shrank for another month, down by 183,000 when compared to August. This means that the Labor Force Participation rate declined slightly to 61.6%, practically the same level in this key metric going back to June.Last June.These millions, yes, [...]

What Happened To The ‘Bring Everything Back’ Function?

By |2021-02-05T17:41:27-05:00February 5th, 2021|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The good news, such that it might be, is that the BLS - using data from the Census Bureau - believes that the American population is slowing down. According to the latest Civilian Non-institutional population estimates for January 2021, published alongside the current payroll report, the count was adjusted downward by around 400,000 consistent with the same kind and level [...]

The Reluctant Labor Force Is Reluctant For A Reason (and it’s not booming growth)

By |2018-01-05T17:13:10-05:00January 5th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In 2017, the BLS estimates that just 861k Americans were added to the official labor force, the denominator, of course, for the unemployment rate. That’s out of an increase of 1.4 million in the Civilian Non-Institutional Population, the overall prospective pool of workers. Both of those rises were about half the rate experienced in 2016. While population growth slowed last [...]

Payrolls Hit The Trifecta of Awful

By |2018-01-05T12:30:22-05:00January 5th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Last year was an objectively bad year for American workers. The latest payroll figures from the BLS for December 2017 fill out what was an awful picture. According to its Establishment Survey, the data that’s taken as the definitive source on the US labor market, total payrolls expanded by 2.055 million in 2017. That annual increase isn’t being lamented, however, [...]

Viewing Payrolls As A Product of A Shrunken Economy

By |2015-12-04T11:53:21-05:00December 4th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The numbers all change with each month, but nothing really changes. And that includes how the economy changed in 2012 and clearly again in 2015. By raw count of the payroll figures, there were positive numbers in every location in the latest update as only full-time employment was close to zero growth (only +3k for November). The labor force grew [...]

Go to Top