credit default swaps

Harvey and Irma Passed, Back To Same Procyclical Housing

By |2018-03-23T12:19:49-04:00March 23rd, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Why does monetary policy pay so much attention to housing? The easy answer over the last twelve years is the bubble. It was hard not to, though for a very long time policymakers did attempt a systemic disavowal. But beyond the middle 2000’s housing mania, central banks have had a very keen interest in real estate from the beginning. The [...]

I Repeat

By |2017-09-25T18:58:44-04:00September 25th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The nominal CMT yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hit its low on July 8 last year. It’s debatable, of course, as to what turned it around; I think “reflation” from there began in Japan and all those whispers of the “helicopter.” It didn’t really matter that the BoJ didn’t really consider the proposition, what did instead was [...]

Not All Swaps Are Created Equal; Part 2 (Eurodollar University)

By |2017-08-29T16:23:10-04:00August 29th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Part 1 is here. The real clue as to what was going on monetarily was provided in early 2008 not by a Federal Reserve statement about some new program it was hastily putting together (except by proxy of what it meant for conditions in private wholesale markets that the Fed thought it necessary to hurriedly arrange some new liquidity program, [...]

Not All Swaps Are Created Equal; Part 1 (Eurodollar University)

By |2017-08-29T16:23:51-04:00August 29th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

I’ve never understood the myth of central bank dollar swaps. They are automatically placed in the category of QE or IOER, perhaps because very few seem to understand what was really happening with them (as well as outside of them). The Fed expands its balance sheet which everyone assumes is the same as expanding either base money or something like [...]

No Surprise, Wells Fargo

By |2017-07-28T14:13:12-04:00July 28th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In September 2016, Wells Fargo fired 5,300 employees. These sorts of mass layoffs have become common in banking throughout the post-crisis era, especially those years of the “rising dollar.” This was different, however, as Wells was not cutting back in capacity but dealing with the aftermath of being far too aggressive. These employees were found to have opened secret and [...]

A Decade of Fallacy

By |2017-07-18T14:19:24-04:00July 18th, 2017|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Ten years ago yesterday, Bear Stearns sent a letter to shareholders of two specific hedge funds that it sponsored. Whenever anyone brings up the name now, you immediately know where this is going. That wasn’t the case in 2007, however. Whatever the world may think of Bear in hindsight, a decade ago it was a highly reputable firm. These two [...]

The Eurodollar’s Soul; Part 2

By |2017-05-02T17:15:44-04:00May 2nd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Part 1 is here. The story of the asset bubbles is one of eurodollars alone. We can tell so much of the history of the past few decades by examining its pieces. The primary component has been derivatives, these financial instruments that are largely misunderstood shrouded often by what can appear to be incomprehensible complexity. That their own purveyors more [...]

The Eurodollar’s Soul; Part 1

By |2017-05-02T17:16:26-04:00May 2nd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

You could say that SunTrust dodged a bullet. The Georgia bank was itself an amalgam of smaller banks cobbled together during the deregulation of the 1980’s. On the one side were the Florida subsidiaries based in Orlando, what came to be known as the Sun Bank. On the other was the Trust Company of Georgia, both coming together in 1985 [...]

Goldman, Eurodollar Dealers, And The (Possible) Consequences of Actual Liquidity

By |2016-05-06T17:22:14-04:00May 6th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Goldman Sachs is cutting back more in its staff than previously announced. Though not yet confirmed, Bloomberg writes that the reductions in the fixed income business are being increased. After posting absolutely horrible results for Q1, the job cuts were expected. The continuation of them, however, seems to be more drastic than first thought even though “market” conditions improved into [...]

Go to Top