crisis

Landmine Review: The Big One

By |2021-11-10T10:54:42-05:00November 9th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Representatives in Congress from both parties were understandably apoplectic. Amidst the world’s worst monetary chaos since the Great Collapse after October 1929, legislators had been told by everyone from central bankers to all the right Economists how laws needed to passed right away, no delay, which would give the Bush Administration authority to buy up the “toxic waste” each had [...]

Chaos Curve: Stocks And Long Bonds Aren’t Actually Diverging Right Now

By |2020-03-13T13:46:26-04:00March 13th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

In a week replete with chaotic movements and arrangements, a puzzle has emerged. Conventional wisdom says that when stocks tank bonds rally. While the latter takes place regardless of the former, during those times when the NYSE finally pays attention to what might be herding financial agents into safety instruments the bond market typically rallies even harder. It sure did [...]

What A Morning

By |2014-10-15T15:16:56-04:00October 15th, 2014|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

An unbelievable morning of credit market trading has at least seen some semblance of “market” forces return by the afternoon. One aspect is certain, that the open was about as illiquid as the treasury market has seen in a long, long time. We should not make the mistake of illiquidity being only associated with selling, particularly since today’s volatility was [...]

Curve Crazy, Updates

By |2013-12-10T17:45:30-05:00December 10th, 2013|Markets|

There is definitely some disturbance in swaps markets as spreads have been far more volatile lately than at any point since the dramatic shift in March. While most of the action had been concentrated in the 10-year, there has also been a noticeable change in 5-year spread volatility. I don’t think there is much doubt that recent volatility in treasury [...]

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