currency intervention

The PBOC’s Involuntarily Enormous Bet

By |2019-07-19T17:55:19-04:00July 19th, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Central bankers are not nimble traders. By their very bureaucratic nature, they leave big muddy footprints all over markets. Sometimes that is by design, a show of force to scare some evil speculators into going straight. Other times, it just can’t be helped. The way it works in China, the autocratic structure doesn’t leave much to interpretation – at least [...]

Clocking What Isn’t Chinese Stimulus

By |2019-06-17T16:47:37-04:00June 17th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

One of the very few central pillars supporting the hopes for a second half rebound was China’s “stimulus.” Since we’ve been conditioned to just accept whatever a central bank does as equal to it, throughout the last thirteen months since the first RRR cut was initiated that one as well as the four which followed (five for smaller and medium [...]

The Noose Only Tightens

By |2017-05-16T19:19:40-04:00May 16th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Earlier this month, China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) reported a large increase in official reserve holdings. The biggest “inflows” in several years has, as you would expect, led to much optimistic commentary suggesting if not outright stating that the currency problems are no more. It is not the first time such claims have been made, as this has [...]

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