deutsche bank

More Deutsche Bank Attention Means Even Less ‘Dollars’

By |2016-09-29T17:11:24-04:00September 29th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It seems as if Deutsche Bank is on everyone’s mind, even if nobody knows exactly why. Stocks were down today which is really unremarkable but has become so by the standards of just this year where nothing bad is supposed to be able to intrude. That aside, the news from Germany was quite unnerving. Bloomberg reported early this afternoon that [...]

It’s Not Really About Deutsche Bank

By |2016-09-26T12:41:42-04:00September 26th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It is never a good thing when official sources either named or unnamed are quoted in the media as denying bailout discussions. For any bank such rumors and denials are harmful because, obviously, they are a reflection of common perception. Furthermore, most people know all-too-well the true nature of any denials, thus reinforcing only that much more the troubling perceptions [...]

The Financial Side of Hell

By |2016-07-06T16:57:00-04:00July 6th, 2016|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

Back in September, the IMF issued a generic warning about EM corporate debt. The organization had estimated that total borrowing had exploded, from about $4 trillion in 2004 to $18 trillion in 2014; and perhaps even more than that. Concerns over such bloat typically focus offshore, and not without good reason. However, that understates the true degree of risk since [...]

Still Yen, No China, Now Banks

By |2016-04-07T16:42:43-04:00April 7th, 2016|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

It’s never a good sign when bank stocks are leading any retreat, but that is especially the case given recent events when several high profile banks were at the epicenter of early 2016’s liquidation rerun. As usual, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse are the firms most mentioned and among those most disfavored at these times. The media struggles to find [...]

What UBS Tells Us About Credit Suisse, And What Both Suggest of Economics

By |2016-03-24T11:45:38-04:00March 24th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Credit Suisse released its annual report for 2015 today allowing us to update its progress through winding down its eurodollar activity exposures. As expected, the bank’s gross notional balance sheet offerings declined by quite a bit in Q4. Gross notional interest rate swaps fell by 15% from Q3 to just CHF 28.8 trillion, the largest quarterly decline (in percentage terms) [...]

Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank Still At the Forefront (Just Where They Don’t Want To Be)

By |2016-03-23T12:49:49-04:00March 23rd, 2016|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The pain of Credit Suisse and its holdover peers, such as Deutsche Bank, is incredibly easy to understand. There is no need for penetrating the depths of technical jargon in interest rate swaps, forward warehousing securities or even the whole varied business of investment banking. In its Q1 2014 quarterly report, Credit Suisse spells out everything you need(ed) to know: [...]

The Eurodollar Decay

By |2016-02-23T12:47:17-05:00February 23rd, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Standard Chartered reported a massive yearly loss for 2015, the bank’s first in almost thirty years. The results were so bad that the company has publicly stated it might even “claw back” bonuses from about 140 executives. If the firm is truly interested in assigning blame, however, it might first look to Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen (as primary representatives [...]

Why It Will Continue, Continued

By |2016-01-21T18:11:50-05:00January 21st, 2016|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

With quarterly earnings we get quarterly bank earnings. Interest in them should be heightened by all that has happened since June 2014. And it is, only for seemingly the wrong reasons. Deutsche Bank, the latest, reported shockingly negative preliminary results which only continued the trend. Even though the media largely gets it backwards, at some point as enough time passes [...]

Greater Detail On Eurodollar Anecdotes

By |2015-10-30T10:47:54-04:00October 30th, 2015|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Written Wednesday Oct 28 Credit Suisse has stumbled in its initial restructuring effort. Forced by Swiss regulators to deleverage more quickly, the bank has turned to several unenthusiastic steps in order to comply. The Swiss banking unit will see a partial public flotation not to “unlock value”, as is commonly described, but rather to satisfy systemic banking requirements in the [...]

Gold(man) Simplicity

By |2015-10-16T15:05:34-04:00October 16th, 2015|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Goldman Sachs just reported an extremely rough quarter, and not just for a bank that has earned a reputation as being on the “right” side of trading. The bank’s (and it is a bank, now) annualized return on equity put it next to BofAML and below Citigroup, of all indignities. The reason, as always, is FICC. Reported revenue there was [...]

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