eurodollar standard

The Fix of China’s Fix

By |2015-02-04T12:14:16-05:00February 4th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It wouldn’t be “reform” if it wasn’t seemingly contradictory and confusing. It is increasingly apparent that investors and observers look at everything in binary terms; something either isn’t or it is. In China, the entire premise of what they are doing takes more than one form, as it can look to be conflicting in the sense that the PBOC both [...]

The Hard Work Of Strong Dollars

By |2015-02-03T17:22:27-05:00February 3rd, 2015|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Even Harley Davidson is against the “strong dollar” at this point, which I think says a lot about how financialism has destroyed even this most basic sense of “money.” For the record, Harley’s profit was down “slightly” with the company of course blaming the “dollar.” The toothpaste business has also been seriously affected, afflicting Colgate where Latin America is a [...]

What Is A Dollar?

By |2015-01-21T12:48:38-05:00January 21st, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

We all have our own conceptions about money, as in many respects it is and should be deeply personal. Most people pay it little mind as all that matters is if our cars can be filled with gasoline and the local grocery store exchanges food for some ready and convenient method of payment. That used to be the primary focus [...]

Another Credit Marker

By |2015-01-16T11:54:32-05:00January 16th, 2015|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The FOMC continues to posture as if the economy is good enough to allow the first “tightening” in policy since Alan Greenspan. If we have learned anything from the era of shadow finance and the global eurodollar standard, it is that in these unsettled times the true “money supply” of bank balance sheet mechanics behaves of its own accord. In [...]

Forget The Peg, Fight The ‘Dollar’ Short

By |2015-01-15T12:22:13-05:00January 15th, 2015|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It was bound to happen as the monetary affairs throughout the world “tighten.” The Swiss National Bank (SNB) had tied its fate, with good reason, to that of broader Europe but made the assumption that the ECB could accomplish both economic and financial goals. In 2011, that meant pegging the franc to the euro and using the SNB’s balance sheet [...]

And The ‘Dollar’ Nail

By |2015-01-13T18:21:11-05:00January 13th, 2015|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In parallel to US$ credit markets, the “dollar” itself found a new and worsened degree of “tightness” right around December 1. The trend that was already in place, doing so much damage globally prior to about Thanksgiving, took another upward turn at the same time US credit markets may have completely given up on the dominant economic story. In other [...]

Credit Doesn’t Care At All What the FOMC Says

By |2014-12-19T15:26:51-05:00December 19th, 2014|Bonds, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

The stock market takes off in holiday celebration of the FOMC being even less clear than it really has been in some time; perhaps going all the way back to Alan Greenspan’s intentional mush. Equity “investors” are happy that the Fed may be happy about the economy, even though there is nothing in actual markets (outside of stocks) to suggest [...]

Switzerland ‘Fights’ The Russian Problem, But Russia’s Problem Is As Brazil

By |2014-12-18T12:27:15-05:00December 18th, 2014|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Indonesia has been here before, playing a key role in fomenting the Asian “flu” in 1997 and 1998. As it turned out, the slide in the rupiah last year, caught up in the taper drama of US “dollar” tightening, was just the initial phase of what looks to be shaping up as a protracted “dollar” problem. It never gets treated [...]

TIC Confirmation of October

By |2014-12-16T15:09:46-05:00December 16th, 2014|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

With the latest TIC data in hand it looks more and more like “dollar” problems started in the interior and spread outward. What I mean by that is eurodollar banks were the first to see or cause disruption which radiated outward into other currencies and credit systems. That would seem to confirm (for me, anyway) the ECB’s role in kicking [...]

Supply Indeed

By |2014-12-16T10:12:10-05:00December 16th, 2014|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

After months of hearing about how the fracking “miracle” is totally, fully and comprehensively responsible for the drop in oil prices there is finally penetrating reality. After the continued disruption in the Chinese economy as well as the close onset of recession in Europe, plus full-blown recession in Japan and Brazil, all that is left is really the diminutive hope [...]

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