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Weekly Market Pulse: Live From New York….

By |2021-05-10T07:42:23-04:00May 9th, 2021|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

We have reached the point of absurdity in the crypto markets. There were people buying Dogecoin last week in anticipation of Elon Musk's appearance on Saturday Night Live, with the expectation, presumably, that he would say something bullish and they'd be able to ring the cash register. Easy, peasy, cha-ching. Except, well, at last check it didn't work out that [...]

Auto Sales The Lowest In Half A Decade, Just Coincidence FCA Will Join Ford, GM Ditching Monthly Sales Estimates

By |2019-05-02T17:37:15-04:00May 2nd, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

FCA, formerly Fiat-Chrysler, is the latest automaker to switch from a monthly sales report. Joining GM and Ford, beginning in October all three of Detroit’s big car companies will be publishing quarterly sales figures. The announcement comes at an auspicious moment. As with the other two, FCA claims the change is being done in the name of transparency. Less reporting [...]

Transparent (Auto)Motives

By |2019-04-03T11:45:50-04:00April 3rd, 2019|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Those were the days. The minivan was king, a relatively new phenomenon that domestic automakers were hoping would help them stave off increasing import pressure. In 1990, Chrysler, for example, had used the success of its Dodge Caravan and Plymouth Voyager, along with the introduction of its Town & Country luxury (I suppose) model, to maintain its number three spot [...]

It’s Seems A Pretty Big Deal Ford’s New Focus Won’t Have A Focus

By |2018-04-26T19:11:22-04:00April 26th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Why isn’t Ford’s news getting a bigger reaction? This was no small announcement, essentially a retooling of its entire business. The company will, in effect, no longer build and sell cars; at least not cars as we think of them. The Mustang, it appears, will be the lone survivor among that category, but the Taurus and even the Focus are [...]

More Hurricane Effects Wear Off; Auto Sales Slump in January

By |2018-02-02T17:23:45-05:00February 2nd, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The storm-assisted car-fest that ended last year appears to be fully winding down. Automakers overall posted weak sales to start 2018. They are putting on their best face, admitting widely that this year was going to be a tough one anyway as if they expected it. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, total sales (seasonally-adjusted) in January 2018 were [...]

Auto Sales Up Last Month, But Why?

By |2017-10-03T19:05:38-04:00October 3rd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Auto sales rebounded sharply in September, with most major car manufacturers reporting better numbers. Sales at Ford were up 8.9% last month from September 2016; +11.9% at GM; Toyota +14.9%; Nissan +9.5%; Honda +6.8%. The only negatives were reported by FCA (-9.7%) and Mercedes (-1.7%). The question is whether these numbers are sustainable beyond September and maybe the few months [...]

Non-cycle Auto Paralysis

By |2017-08-02T12:45:28-04:00August 2nd, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In December 2015, automakers were still riding high. Auto sales that year were to be another record, both in terms of units as well as dollars. Americans had spent about $437 billion on new vehicles in those twelve months, up from $407 billion the year before. Though there were notable disturbances throughout especially the second half of 2015, that December [...]

Auto Potential For More Than Minor

By |2017-07-05T11:59:46-04:00July 5th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

According to Edmunds.com, in June 2017 the average length of a new vehicle loan has been stretched to a record 69.3 months. JD Power says that incentives last month were running at more than 10% of MSRP, the eleventh time over the past twelve months where manufacturers have so heavily discounted. And yet, the auto industry would have us believe [...]

Adjusting Wholesale Sales And Inventory

By |2016-12-12T17:28:28-05:00December 12th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

When the estimates for factor orders were released earlier this month, there was an unusual pattern for the revision of September’s preliminary figures. Subsequent data suggested that factory orders were slightly less than had been originally calculated, yet despite that result for the unadjusted data the seasonally-adjusted estimate for factory orders in September was instead revised significantly higher. Overall, the [...]

Still No Growth In Wholesale Sales, Inventories May Start To Weigh

By |2016-11-09T17:42:47-05:00November 9th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Wholesale sales were flat in September, and flat overall for the quarter. They had declined sharply in July, rebounded in August, only to go nowhere for all the trouble. It is perfectly reminiscent of this whole economy, which fell in 2015 and then despite all projections otherwise never got back up. The best that can be said of it is [...]

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