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gross private domestic investment

The Two Speeds Of This Economy

By |2016-10-28T17:12:42-04:00October 28th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The ultimate lesson for learning not to rely on one quarter of GDP growth was actually two quarters. In the middle of 2014, GDP posted back-to-back gains that at the time seemed nothing less than fantastic. Even with residual seasonality revisions and new benchmarks, those two quarters remain prominent landmarks in an otherwise bleak landscape. And that is the whole [...]

The Variations of GDP

By |2016-10-28T13:42:16-04:00October 28th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Last year, the usual rebound in GDP was flipped. Q1’s are, or were before “residual seasonality”, the low mark followed by some surge at some point. In 2015, it was Q2 that originally jumped, hitting almost 4% in the original estimates. What followed in Q3 was frustration, as GDP was first figured to be only 1.5%. It was disappointing but [...]

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