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No Surprise, Hysteria Wasn’t a Sound Basis For Interpretation

By |2019-02-27T17:11:06-05:00February 27th, 2019|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

What gets them into trouble is how they just can’t help themselves. Go back one year, to early 2018. Last February it was all-but-assured (in mainstream coverage) that the US economy was going to take off. The bond market, meaning UST’s, was about to be massacred because the overheating boom would force a double shot down its throat. Not only [...]

JOLTS Disharmony Is More Than JOLTS, or Jobs

By |2017-07-11T15:02:53-04:00July 11th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Last month it was Job Openings that soared to a new record high of more than 6 million (for April 2017), while the pace of hiring slammed lower to just more than 5 million. This month (May 2017), the opposite. Hires surged to nearly 5.5 million, while Job Openings fell sharply (and were revised lower for April). The large variations [...]

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