inflation projections

FOMC Statement Makes A Statement Without Really Knowing It

By |2021-03-17T18:57:56-04:00March 17th, 2021|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Oh, the irony. Recall Janet Yellen’s plight, circa early 2015. Oil prices were “unexpectedly” crashing raining on her recovery-like parade. The Federal Reserve, Yellen as its Chairman, was about to embark on an ambitious program of regular every-meeting rate hikes to head off, its models assumed, the coming inflationary bump which was to confirm full if belated monetary policy success. [...]

BoJ Blames Amazon; Or, What A Difference A Few Months Make

By |2018-06-18T13:21:02-04:00June 18th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The Bank of Japan gathered its policymaking members in Tokyo at the end of last week. The statements released and the commentary given pursuant to it exuded a renewed darkness. When they had last met on April 26 and 27, things were already different. But the conclave before that, March 8 and 9, they were practically giddy. What a difference [...]

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