jgbs

Collateral Shortage Goes Global, Hinting At The Way The (euro)Dollar Reaches Its Eventual End

By |2020-03-25T18:56:44-04:00March 25th, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Government securities have become so scarce that it is driving down repo rates. A collateral shortage that has become so acute, money dealers won’t part with their stock of government securities no matter what the price. Stop me if you’ve heard this before. Except, we’re talking about Japan and JGB’s here rather than UST’s. The trick is that both types [...]

Liquidity Risk Is Very Real And Really Not That Hard To Spot And Define

By |2016-08-23T18:46:00-04:00August 23rd, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Going back to Japan for a third time today (it is more than deserved), at least in the setup, the Financial Times on August 1 astutely picked up what the rest of the mainstream media missed about the last BoJ policy moves. They correctly judged the “dollar” intentions, but also that it wasn’t nearly enough, as I wrote earlier. However, nobody [...]

Clues to the Origins And Stubbornness of the ‘Rising Dollar’

By |2016-08-23T13:27:39-04:00August 23rd, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On March 9, 2016, front month trading for Japanese government bond (JGB) futures was halted at 12:32 pm Tokyo time. Selling had become intense, tripping the Osaka Exchange’s dynamic circuit breaker. The total length of the halt was just 30 seconds, but fingers were already being pointed in the direction of the BoJ. More than four months later, on July [...]

The New Widowmakers

By |2014-05-18T15:46:13-04:00May 18th, 2014|Bonds, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

What is a "widowmaker"? Merriam Webster defines it as "something dangerous to a worker's life or health". More specifically the term comes from the logging industry and describes a loose limb hanging high in a tree that falls on and kills a logger. On Wall Street for the last 25 years or so, it has had a somewhat different meaning. [...]

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