Another dovish example to be put on the growing pile of good things? The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) earlier today trimmed one of its many policy rates. The 7-day reverse repo rate will be reduced from 2.55% to 2.50%, a 5 bps cut practically pointless in functional terms widely interpreted instead for its purported “meaning.” Like the Fed, the [...]
Gold is the ultimate hedge, but it is far from perfect. Unlike, say, sovereign bonds there should be no expectation for a negatively correlated price. You can buy a UST or German bund even at negative yields and at least expect the price to rise when things are at their worst. Flight to safety or flight to liquidity. You can’t [...]
Why don’t you fight the Fed? Sure, central banks and governments give off the impression that they are in control. The idea is repeated as if a fact. We are led to believe they let markets play around in their contained spheres but should anyone get out of hand authorities are there like referees to make sure everything remains inbounds. [...]
Another discussion with Erik Townsend of MacroVoices about bonds, rate cuts, and what's behind everything this year. https://youtu.be/RvFBkFaPKoY
It's the nature of the business, on my end, anyway. Talking, writing, speaking incessantly about the effective global reserve currency puts me more in touch with folks from outside the US. People in the rest of the global economy see and feel the effects of that currency system far more and more directly than we Americans do. It is one [...]
It was the most common catchphrase of 2017, interest rates have nowhere to go but up. Maybe it was doomed from the start given that Alan Greenspan was among the more prominent commentators expressing this view. In his mind, the bond market was in a bubble and the party was already over. His successors at the Fed, following in his [...]
Erik Townsend welcomes back Jeffrey Snider to MacroVoices for Part 4 of the Eurodollar University. Erik and Jeffrey discuss the failure of Primus and AIG back in 2008, the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, Henry Paulson and Glass–Steagall. They further discuss the Eurodollar system going parabolic in the 2000s, Banks manipulating regulations and the big picture end game of the Eurodollar system. The [...]
PART 3 here PART 2 here PART 1 here
https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/www.macrovoices.com/podcasts/MacroVoices-2017-10-05-Eurodollar-University-Part-2.mp3
The folks at MacroVoices inform me that due to popular demand (yeah, I didn't know, either) they are accelerating the scheduled releases. Part 1 played in late August, which you can find here. Part 2 will be available this Thursday. Though still in the early days, Part 2 really starts to get into the transformations and how they work (as [...]
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