metals

Chip Shortages, Crude Boiling, Fed Explosion And…No Inflation

By |2021-10-05T18:06:08-04:00October 5th, 2021|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

An integrated circuit (IC) is a set of electronic circuits put together on one small, flat semiconductor medium. We call this thing a chip, and it is essential for so much of what we do in the modern computerized, digital world. Manufacturers can’t even produce cars without them.It stands to reason, then, that any shortfall or hitch in the availability [...]

If the Fed’s Not In Consumer Prices, Then How About Producer Prices?

By |2021-01-15T19:38:00-05:00January 15th, 2021|Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s not just that there isn’t much inflation evident in consumer prices. Rather, it’s a pretty big deal given the deluge of so much “money printing” this year, begun three-quarters of a year before, that consumer prices are increasing at some of the slowest rates in the data. Trillions in bank reserves, sure, but actual money can only be missing. [...]

If It Was Just Oil…

By |2015-02-11T12:26:16-05:00February 11th, 2015|Bonds, Commodities, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The price of WTI index crude has fallen back below $50 again as inventories rise far more than expected. That has been the theme of late despite the recent retracement in crude. However, looking at WTI via the futures curve, trading habits are increasingly locking in the outer years (especially past 2016) around $65 - $70 per barrel. That is [...]

Inflation, Prices and Economic Outlook Through Them

By |2014-12-31T17:29:05-05:00December 31st, 2014|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The biggest challenge for the Federal Reserve in 2015 is going to be trying to convince everyone that it is meeting its dual mandate. That is true of every year, but this one is unique given the threats to undo ZIRP after more than six years of it. On the one hand, there is the “maximum employment” mandate seemingly arrived [...]

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