Nevada is, by all accounts and accountants, in rough shape. Very rough shape. An economy overly dependent upon a single industry, tourism, in this case, is a disaster waiting to happen should anything happen to that industry. Pandemic restrictions, for instance.Nevadans cannot afford the government spending they “have” without a gaming industry attracting visitors at full throttle. Desperate, the state’s [...]
A report on our tactical portfolio moves for the week, all which occurred Thursday. Global Opportunities portfolio: Sell AHT, Sell UPL, Buy CELG, Buy MSFT Ashford Hospitality Trust is a hotel Reit we purchased in the first quarter of 2011. With low interest rates, our thesis held that Ashford would obtain cheap refinancing of existing debt and leverage the performance of prime properties [...]
Joseph Gomez, Sr. Investment Adviser and Portfolio Manager As we close out the quarter next week, expect to see plenty of window dressing as portfolio managers want their clients to see that they have stocks on the books during such a strong quarter for the market. Window Dressing is a strategy used by mutual fund and portfolio managers near the year or quarter [...]
Joseph Gomez, Sr. Investment Advisor and Portfolio Manager Of the nineteen economic indicators released this week, nine were weaker than expected, eight were stronger, and two were in line. Once again this week, strength was concentrated in employment and housing related indicators. Thursday’s initial jobless claims report showed that the nation’s employment picture continues to improve. In terms of expectations, this week's total of 348K was well below consensus expectations of [...]
Joseph Gomez, Sr. Investment Advisor Companies are clearly having a tougher time living up to analyst expectations this season. Currently, only 58 percent of companies have managed to beat estimates. Even though we are in the middle of earnings season, analysts have continued to lower their earnings estimates at a quickening pace. There is a factor of seasonality at play here too. [...]
With the US economy showing decent growth while the rest of the world is showing slow or no growth, currency traders are selling Euros and buying Dollars. As a result, the Euro is trading at intermediate term lows while the Dollar is hitting new highs. In recent months, equities and the dollar have gone from a nearly perfect inverse correlation to having practically [...]
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