Money

Reflections On Recession Are A Very Real Affair

By |2016-11-14T17:33:33-05:00November 14th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Where are we in history when the avowed Socialist (capital “S”) from Vermont is the only voice of reason for the Democratic Party in the aftermath of last week’s election? I don’t intend to make this some kind of political screed against one party or the other; I am on record numerous times claiming the America we live in of [...]

Paradox of the Predictably ‘Unexpected’

By |2016-11-14T11:33:30-05:00November 14th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

These things evolve, and they take time. There are a great many similarities between what is going on now and what happened in 2007 and 2008 pertaining to money, then finance, finally economy. Starting August 2007, the eurodollar system fell apart in condensed fashion, almost a typical “run” if but one of and between only banks. Starting in August 2011, [...]

Where Do We Begin? No More Targets

By |2016-11-02T18:11:42-04:00November 2nd, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

In the seventeenth episode of the second season of the Comedy Central cartoon South Park, the show introduces one of its longest lasting memes that has survived despite the first airing being nearly twenty years ago, and all the vulgarity and seemingly gratuitous violence in between. Titled Gnomes, we find one of the main character’s underpants (seriously) being stolen by [...]

Where Do We Begin? Thinking Seriously About Convertibilty

By |2016-11-01T18:39:55-04:00November 1st, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Throughout Milton Friedman’s (and Anna Schwartz) seminal book A Monetary History he tries to make the case that suspension of convertibility would have alleviated much of the suffering of the Great Depression. It had in the past worked in that sort of capacity, choking off the suffering of systemic runs just enough so that emotion could die down and cooler [...]

‘Mixed’ Results For Retail Sales Aren’t Really Mixed

By |2016-10-14T12:04:09-04:00October 14th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Retail sales in September 2016 were mixed, though what I mean by that is importantly different than what it used to suggest. Before 2012, “mixed” results in accounts like retail sales indicated that there was some good, some concerning. After last year where retail sales were uniformly atrocious, “mixed” now means some components still that way, with some others just [...]

Clock Ticks To CNY Again

By |2016-10-11T11:30:08-04:00October 11th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

You can only pick one. Going back to around July 11, the People’s Bank of China decided for whatever their reasons CNY had gone far enough and that the central bank would intervene to all over again to obtain a stable currency importantly against the dollar. This was nothing new, however, as the PBOC had interceded on several other notable [...]

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