The payroll report wasn’t actually the first. The Treasury Department filed its Treasury International Capital (TIC) update yesterday, about two weeks late due to the federal government shutdown. However, since nobody follows it and the figures relate to a lot that’s beyond the US economy it doesn’t count in the mainstream view. That’s a shame because TIC will tell you [...]
When I write, as I did again yesterday, Brazil may already be toast it’s not just Brazil who is likely to be on the painful end of the eurodollar. The balance of probability says that this one unfortunate South American country is potentially going to suffer more than most, for a second time, but they will not be unique in [...]
In early 2011, Chinese consumer prices were soaring. Despite an official government mandate for 3% CPI growth, the country’s main price measure started out the year close to 5% and by June was moving toward 7%. It seemed fitting for the time, no matter how uncomfortable it made PBOC officials. China was going to be growing rapidly even if the [...]
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