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Accusing the Accused of Excusing the Mountain of Evidence

By |2020-08-03T17:53:25-04:00August 3rd, 2020|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Why not let the accused also sit in the jury box? The answer seems rather obvious. While maybe the truly honest man accused of a crime he did commit would vote for his own conviction, the world seems a bit short on supply of those while long and deep offering up practitioners of pure sophistry in their stead.These others when [...]

ECB At A (Familiar) Crossroads

By |2018-08-31T17:05:54-04:00August 31st, 2018|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If Brazilian central bankers are the standard for illicit shamelessness, their European counterparts are at least on the same spectrum. At the end of April, the European Central Bank’s President Mario Draghi took his shot at purposeful mischaracterization. Speaking to the press after the ECB’s Governing Council meeting had concluded, Draghi had been forced to concede there had been at [...]

The Conspicuous Consistency of Curves

By |2018-08-20T17:03:19-04:00August 20th, 2018|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It’s not that curves are flattening. It’s where they are. There’s really no mystery surrounding any of this. The “conundrum” arrives only when starting from the orthodox perspective; the one derived from Economists even though they don’t understand the bond market in the slightest. Short-term rates tend to “obey” central bank signals because central banks offer more direct money alternatives. [...]

The Real Euro Watch

By |2017-09-08T17:15:14-04:00September 8th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Everyone is now a euro watcher. The European common currency’s exchange value against the dollar has been on the rise, to put it mildly. Despite decades of declaring floating currencies the optimal framework, it really is quite entertaining to watch the furor when these things actually float one way or the other. This recent trend has been attributed to the [...]

The Product of NIRP: Exposing Psuedo-Science

By |2016-08-24T16:07:11-04:00August 24th, 2016|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

It wasn’t the introduction of statistics that led to the dire state of “science”, rather it was the jettison of common sense in favor of, and the total deference to, statistics. This was not a single event or a clean break, of course, as it happened slowly over decades. But in the 21st century what is often talked about and [...]

The Benefits Already Sparse On The Plus Side, Europe Flirts With Widespread NIRP

By |2016-04-25T12:35:39-04:00April 25th, 2016|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

Unilever is a rather typical multinational conglomerate trying to weather this “recovery” as best as it can. It is, of course, quite jarring to realize that any business so positioned might have to “weather” any recovery, but that is the state that they are presented with. Reporting Q1 results last week, the company improved slightly to almost 5% in underlying [...]

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