stock buybacks

Buybacks Get All The Macro Hate, But What About Dividends?

By |2018-07-11T18:33:17+00:00July 11th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

When it comes to the stock market and the corporate cash flow condition, our attention is usually drawn to stock repurchases. With good reason. These controversial uses of scarce internal funds are traditionally argued along the lines of management teams identifying and correcting undervalued shares. History shows, conclusively, that hasn’t really been true. Last year’s [...]

Stubborn Recoveries And The Bad Ideas That Follow From Them

By |2018-02-20T12:13:45+00:00February 20th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

We have ample enough evidence for the efficacy, or inefficacy really, of tax cuts as fiscal stimulus. They have been deployed numerous times all over the world the last ten years, and the results have been nearly identical in all. Most charitably, proponents have been left with some form of “jobs saved” to describe, counterfactually, [...]

As Good As It Gets?

By |2017-08-08T12:05:11+00:00August 8th, 2017|Alhambra Research, Investing, Markets, Stocks|

By Jeffrey Snider & Joseph Calhoun Late 2014/early 2015 will perhaps be the closest to a real recovery from the Great “Recession” we shall see in this cycle.  Q1 2015 marked the peak year over year growth rate of GDP in this recovery at 3.76%. That rate compares quite unfavorably with even the feeble post [...]

Near Record Expansion (Really Reduction)

By |2017-06-29T16:01:59+00:00June 29th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

Real GDP in the US was revised up to 1.41% quarter-over-quarter (annual rate), still the fourth of the last six to be less than 1.5%. While economists and policymakers have taken to judging the economy by its downside, that is only because the extent of the global problem is revealed by complete absences of an [...]

Not A Done Deal

By |2015-11-08T18:29:21+00:00November 8th, 2015|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Investing, Markets, Stocks|

Last week's employment report raised the odds of a December rate hike considerably and the consensus at this point seems to be that it is a done deal. The employment report was pretty good with the unemployment rate down to 5%, 271,000 jobs added and a pay hike to boot. Year over year average hourly [...]

Let Them Eat Cake

By |2015-05-17T14:37:18+00:00May 17th, 2015|Economy, Markets, Politics|

It’s very decorative, it’s very large, it looks very expensive, it’s very splashy. I’d identify the new owner as being very rich, and it’ll brighten up his expensive apartment. Would you want any more reasons?   John Richardson, Picasso biographer on why Les Femmes d'Alger (Version O) is worth the $179 million it fetched at [...]

Janet Yellen, A Bear Late and a ‘Dollar’ Short

By |2015-05-06T17:06:20+00:00May 6th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

For policymakers a sense of timing doesn’t appear to be among the highest qualities demanded. That certainly applies to almost every economic proclamation that has come out of any central bank globally, as they both fail to ever see forming recession and always proclaim recoveries that don’t happen to exist. It’s not just a matter [...]

Why Bubbles Are Being Recognized

By |2014-11-12T13:12:15+00:00November 12th, 2014|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

The nature of liquidity under the eurodollar standard is to essentially link “markets” that outwardly seem to have little or no relation. You can see the synchronized ups and downs quite clearly but miss the ultimate connection, especially under the orthodox assumption of the world’s economies and their “natural” finance as mostly closed systems with [...]