Alhambra Research

Monthly Macro Monitor: Market Indicators Review

By |2019-08-29T16:08:52-04:00August 29th, 2019|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Monthly Macro Monitor|

This is a companion piece to last week's Monthly Macro report found here. The Treasury market continues to price in lower nominal and real growth. The stress, the urgency, I see in some of these markets is certainly concerning and consistent with what we have seen in the past at the onset of recession. The [...]

Hedgeye Podcast: One-On-One With Joe Calhoun

By |2019-08-27T12:08:30-04:00August 27th, 2019|Alhambra Research, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy|

Our very own Joe Calhoun, founder and CEO of Alhambra Investments, was invited to feature on Hedgeye's 20th episode of In the Arena. He joins Hedgeye's Daryl Jones in a lively discussion on the current investing landscape and hurdles facing the U.S. economy:

Monthly Macro Monitor: Does Anyone Not Know About The Yield Curve?

By |2019-08-21T14:51:01-04:00August 21st, 2019|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Markets, Monthly Macro Monitor|

The yield curve's inverted! The yield curve's inverted! That was the news I awoke to last Wednesday on CNBC as the 10 year Treasury note yield dipped below the 2 year yield for the first time since 2007. That's the sign everyone has been waiting for, the definitive recession signal that says get out while [...]

Monthly Macro Monitor: Market Indicators Review

By |2019-07-19T18:19:10-04:00July 19th, 2019|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Monthly Macro Monitor|

The markets we use to monitor the economy (and those that influence it, which amounts to the same thing) have been tracking an economic slowdown since the 4th quarter of last year. That's when interest rates, real and nominal, long term and short term, started to decline, credit spreads started to widen and the copper [...]

Monthly Macro Monitor: The Tempest

By |2019-05-13T16:41:14-04:00May 13th, 2019|Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Markets, Monthly Macro Monitor|

The Trump administration raised tariffs last week from 10% to 25% on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods and are considering tariffs on another $300 billion of Chinese goods. The Chinese retaliated this morning, raising tariffs to 25% from 5% and 10% on various goods totaling $60 billion. Obviously, the trade negotiations are not going [...]