crude oil futures

Weekly Market Pulse: Oil Shock

By |2022-03-07T07:38:30-05:00March 6th, 2022|Alhambra Portfolios, Alhambra Research, Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Markets, Real Estate, Stocks|

Crude oil prices rose over 25% last week and as I sit down to write this evening, the overnight futures are up another 8% to around $125. Almost every other commodity on the planet rose in prices last week too, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession [...]

COT Black: Bad News For Jerome, Swap Dealers Seem Really Convinced

By |2017-12-07T16:37:37-05:00December 7th, 2017|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

US domestic stocks of crude oil continue to be quite high and now the futures curve is only a few pennies in the front month contract from being fully backwardated again. Contango is gone, which suggests that oil market is in sight of achieving some measure of balance. That anticipated equilibrium, however, is registering at less than $57 rather than [...]

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