federal reserve

US Banks Haven’t Behaved Like This Since 2009

By |2018-12-11T17:59:34+00:00December 11th, 2018|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

If there is one thing Ben Bernanke got right, it was this. In 2009 during the worst of the worst monetary crisis in four generations, the Federal Reserve’s Chairman was asked in front of Congress if we all should be worried about zombies. Senator Bob Corker wasn’t talking about the literal undead, rather a scenario [...]

In A Booming Economy, You Borrow And Build

By |2018-11-15T18:01:36+00:00November 15th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

We often forget, the middle 2000’s was not uniquely a housing bubble. It commanded our attention because that’s what ended up affecting so many Americans personally; whether foreclosures or just the negative “wealth effect” of declining real estate values. This was also pretty easy to understand, an asset bubble though complicated in its full manifestations [...]

Bond Bull Bull

By |2018-10-30T22:45:02+00:00October 30th, 2018|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On February 12, 1999, the Bank of Japan announced that it was going full zero. Japan’s central bank would from that day forward push the overnight uncollateralized lending (interbank) rate to the zero lower bound. Further, it pledged to keep it there until Japan’s economy recovered. The economic slump in the nineties had been by [...]

What’s Really Behind the Gathering Slump

By |2018-10-24T11:56:50+00:00October 24th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

The housing slump accelerated in September. Matching the poor performance of resales, sales of newly constructed houses tumbled last month, too. According to the Census Bureau, there were 41k (unadjusted) single-family units sold. That’s down an alarming 18% from the same month last year. At a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 553k in September, the construction [...]

COT Blue: A Short-term Path For Powell

By |2018-10-22T17:31:53+00:00October 22nd, 2018|Bonds, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

On December 12, 2007, the Federal Reserve announced its entry into emergency “non-standard” policy measures. In a belated attempt to “address elevated pressures in short-term funding markets”, the US central bank would begin auctioning reserve funds “against the wide variety of collateral that can be used to secure loans at the discount window.” The Term [...]

Incredibly Simple economics

By |2018-09-28T16:49:40+00:00September 28th, 2018|Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets|

There are more than 300 PhD Economists working on staff for the Federal Reserve. The central bank tells us that they “represent an exceptionally diverse range of interests and specific areas of expertise.” Perhaps, but they are all PhD Economists, aren’t they? These highly educated people cover a broad range of topics, for sure, and [...]