The Global Economy Didn’t Change Last Year, Views of QE Did

By |2016-04-12T08:27:34+00:00April 11th, 2016|Bonds, Commodities, Currencies, Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Markets, Stocks|

The stock market is still viewed as if it were a discounting mechanism, a system where information is processed and priced to deliver insight about the fundamental state of liquidity, markets, and the economy. That view has always been debatable, but never more so than the whole of this century so far. What were share [...]

Cracks In The Facade

By |2015-07-13T11:17:09+00:00July 12th, 2015|Economy, Federal Reserve/Monetary Policy, Investing, Markets, Stocks|

There was a point last week - probably about midday Wednesday - when it seemed that the financial world was spinning out of control. China's Shanghai exchange was continuing its slow motion crash, down almost 6% overnight, Europe was getting hammered as Greece teetered, the NYSE suddenly stopped working, United/Continental Airlines was grounded due to [...]

What A Market Top Might Look Like

By |2013-10-02T16:35:49+00:00October 2nd, 2013|Markets|

Despite the title of this post, I won’t presume to call a market top for anything, particularly in an environment rife with artificiality. Asset bubbles include a regular feature of going a long way past any even semi-rational level of departure, before turning on some wholly unexpected event or parameter. However, if you were brave/foolish [...]

How Much of Equity Prices Is Real?

By |2013-03-05T16:38:12+00:00March 5th, 2013|Markets|

The DJIA is at an all-time high, but how much of it is “real”. Earnings growth dropped to negative two quarters ago, so that removes some of the fundamental appeal of a new high. Comparing economic parameters to the last time markets were at these levels does not offer a favorable context either. There are [...]

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